Syria’s Power Shift: Strategic Implications for Israel

Washington and Jerusalem Must Act Now to Protect Security Interests Before Strategic Opportunities Disappear

The public square in Damascus, Syria.

The public square in Damascus, Syria.

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Damascus’s fall reshapes Middle Eastern security architecture in ways that demand immediate Israeli and American response. While Iran’s setback creates strategic opportunities, Turkey’s expanding proxy network presents challenges requiring coordinated action to protect Western interests.

Turkish intelligence services transformed Hayʼat Tahrir al-Sham into an effective fighting force that now controls territory from Idlib to Damascus. Their victory transferred former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad’s military infrastructure, including chemical weapons facilities near Sheikh Najjar and strategic bases around Aleppo’s airport, to forces hostile to Israeli interests.

The Golan Heights demands enhanced security measures. This strategic plateau provides essential early-warning capabilities and protects critical water resources. While maintaining respect for Druze and Christian communities in the region, Israel must strengthen defensive positions against threats that may emerge from Syrian territory.

Joint operations can prevent weapons transfers while maintaining pressure on remaining Iran-backed militias threatening regional stability.

American leadership must coordinate with Israeli forces to implement comprehensive security frameworks. Joint operations can prevent weapons transfers while maintaining pressure on remaining Iran-backed militias threatening regional stability. This cooperation demonstrates Western commitment while strengthening defensive capabilities.

Moscow’s strategic retreat creates leverage. Russia faces stark choices between abandoning Mediterranean naval access or accommodating new power dynamics. This vulnerability provides opportunities for U.S.-Israeli cooperation to reshape Syria’s security landscape to protect shared interests.

The Kurdish autonomous region deserves sustained support. These proven allies provide essential buffer zones against Turkish expansion while preventing Iranian efforts to establish overland supply routes. American forces should expand training and support for Kurdish units maintaining stability east of the Euphrates.

Gulf partners recognize strategic imperatives. Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates understand that preventing hostile forces from dominating Syria serves their security interests. Their financial and diplomatic support would sustain long-term security arrangements.

Jordan faces immediate security challenges from extremist spillover. Establishing protected zones under international oversight prevents mass population movements while creating stable areas to prevent terrorist exploitation of chaos. Such a policy would serve both humanitarian and strategic interests.

Iran’s weakened position provides opportunities but requires vigilance. While Tehran lost its Syrian stronghold, remaining militia networks seek new opportunities to expand influence. Coordinated U.S.-Israeli action must prevent Iranian efforts to rebuild regional networks that threaten Western interests.

Today’s threats combine sophisticated military capabilities with state sponsorship.

Syria’s Christian and Druze communities need security guarantees preventing demographic engineering by extremist forces. Protected zones under international oversight provide stability for vulnerable populations while serving strategic interests to prevent hostile forces from consolidating control over critical territories.

Critics advocating restraint misread strategic dynamics. When the Islamic State seized territory in 2014, hesitation proved catastrophic. Today’s threats combine sophisticated military capabilities with state sponsorship. Only coordinated action prevents worse outcomes threatening regional stability.

The situation demands three immediate steps:

  • American forces must deploy in sufficient strength to secure vital interests while supporting defensive measures that protect allied territories. Current deployment levels lack resources to contain threats across eastern Syria. Enhanced presence would enable effective coordination with partners while deterring hostile actions.
  • Israel needs freedom to strike any threats emerging from Syrian territory while maintaining defensive positions to protect northern communities.
  • Regional partners must coordinate security frameworks to prevent hostile forces from exploiting power vacuums. Jordan, the Gulf states, and Israeli interests must align in preventing extremist forces from transforming Syria into a launching ground that threatens regional stability.

Washington and Jerusalem must act before strategic opportunities disappear. Each day allows hostile forces to entrench positions while expanding capabilities to threaten Western interests. History judges hesitation harshly when vital security interests demand decisive action.

The choice facing policymakers stands clear: Implement comprehensive security frameworks protecting shared interests, or watch Syria transform into staging grounds for forces threatening regional stability. Leadership requires coordinated action before current opportunities vanish.

Gregg Roman functions as the chief operations officer for the Forum, responsible for day-to-day management, communications, and financial resource development. Mr. Roman previously served as director of the Community Relations Council of the Jewish Federation of Greater Pittsburgh. In 2014, he was named one of the ten most inspiring global Jewish leaders by the Jewish Telegraphic Agency. He previously served as the political advisor to the deputy foreign minister of Israel and worked for the Israeli Ministry of Defense. Mr. Roman is a frequent speaker at venues around the world, often appears on television, and has written for the Hill, the Forward, the Albany Times-Union, and other publications. He attended American University in Washington, D.C., and the Interdisciplinary Center (IDC) in Herzliya, Israel, where he studied national security studies and political communications.
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