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Tehran’s Intention Will Be to Cling on to Power and Inflict Sufficient Damage to Effect an Eventual Ceasefire Which It Will Present as a Victory
Khamenei’s Death Creates a Power Vacuum in Iran: Constitutional Succession May Stall, the IRGC Could Seize Control, and Opposition Leaders May Need Protection to Govern
The Urge to Declare Victory, Halt Military Operations, and Wait for the Regime to Collapse Organically Will Grow Exponentially in the Coming Hours
Contacts Between Displaced Alawite Fighters and the Syrian Democratic Forces Reflect Survival, Not Strategic Coordination
Today’s Protests Lack the Elite Defections and Institutional Collapse That Toppled the Shah
Widespread Unrest Has Revealed the Islamic Republic’s Inability to Address Economic Collapse or Public Anger
Targeted Support for Protesters Could Shift the Balance Without a Full-Scale War
Iran’s Capacity to Respond to Such an Action Is Far More Limited than Its Leaders Suggest
A Middle East Quarterly Special Report
Iran’s Collapsing Legitimacy and Escalating Violence Are Forcing the United States to Move beyond Containment and toward Decisive Action
Economic Freefall and Cross-Class Protest Are Exposing the Regime’s Structural Weakness
Unable to Trust Its Own Forces, Tehran Outsources Repression to Foreign Proxies
Gaza Cannot Be Stabilized Without Ending Hamas
Riyadh Repositions for Regional Primacy in a Post-Liberal Middle East
Appeasement of Extremism Has Put Australia’s Jews at Risk
The Price of Freeing Oneself from the Dictatorship of Islamic Slippers Will Be Far Higher than the Fall of a Gray Communist Mini-State Beyond the Rhine
Individuals Placed on the Blacklist Are Effectively Barred from Obtaining Powers of Attorney or Completing Notarial Transactions at Turkish Consulates Abroad
Should Trump Take Kharg, Rather than Destroy It, He Can Ensure the Regime Can Never Again Pay the Salaries of Its Bureaucrats and Soldiers
While the Political Class Is Being Hollowed Out, the Average Tunisian Is Waiting in Line for Bread
According to Reports Filtering Out of Iran, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Have Killed Thousands of Iranian Protesters
With Its Islamist Empire in Ruins and Legitimacy Gone, the Iranian Regime Turns Its Full Coercive Power Inward Against Its Own People
Iran’s Potential Collapse Could Strip Azerbaijan of Its Strategic Value, Expose Its Repression, and Reshape Regional Alliances
The Failed Southern Transitional Council Offensive Exposes Gulf Divisions in Yemen
