Iran
Tehran Appears to Be Trying to Pressure Arab States with U.S. Bases to Convince Washington to Halt Further Strikes on Iran
Khamenei’s Loss Is a Colossal Blow for a Regime That Was Already Under Intense Domestic Pressure from Its Population
Cyprus Hosts Sovereign British Bases but Exercises No Operational Authority over Their Use
The MEK Is Not Pro-Western or Committed to Democracy; It Operates as a Cult and Fosters Anti-Americanism
Pontiff Snubbed Plea to Speak Up for Persecuted Iranian Christians
Turkey Long Has Promoted Ethnic Separatism in Iran and May Try to Create a ‘Buffer Zone’ Inside Iran That Could Become a Land Grab
By Positioning Argentina Within a Pro-Israel Alignment, Buenos Aires Redefines Its Posture from Passive to Proactive
Bolivia’s Central Position and Permissive Counterintelligence Conditions Lower the Barriers for External Actors
Tehran’s Intention Will Be to Cling on to Power and Inflict Sufficient Damage to Effect an Eventual Ceasefire Which It Will Present as a Victory
His Public Commentary and Seminary Work Suggest He Believes Any Compromise Should Be Made in Strategy, Not Religious Values
If the U.S. and Israel Are Keeping Certain Iranian Leaders Alive to Fill the Vacuum, That Would Be a Significant Mistake
The Strikes Were a Military Success. Will They Be a Political One?
The Regime May Still Hold the Center, but Holding the Center Is Not the Same as Maintaining State Capacity
Even If Tehran and Washington Were to Reach a New Nuclear Agreement, Such Participation Would Remain Unrealistic
Khamenei’s Death Creates a Power Vacuum in Iran: Constitutional Succession May Stall, the IRGC Could Seize Control, and Opposition Leaders May Need Protection to Govern
The Post–9/11 AUMF for Operations in Syria, Iraq, Yemen, and Beyond, Remains Operative
The Urge to Declare Victory, Halt Military Operations, and Wait for the Regime to Collapse Organically Will Grow Exponentially in the Coming Hours
A Father, A War, and The Moment Prediction Became Reality